Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.411065 0.525791 0.649703 0.791815 0.948774 1.115502 1.304727
2025-09-21 0.229297 0.375023 0.550239 0.767888 1.023918 1.309765 1.647811
2025-09-28 0.166982 0.329075 0.538951 0.812460 1.145402 1.526533 1.986114
2025-10-05 0.126617 0.300032 0.540286 0.866006 1.273109 1.747791 2.328149
2025-10-12 0.094151 0.272127 0.535851 0.906412 1.380136 1.940942 2.634255
2025-10-19 0.076240 0.261876 0.552233 0.971166 1.515357 2.166341 2.977185
2025-10-26 0.058549 0.246278 0.557657 1.019079 1.627832 2.363288 3.285769
2025-11-02 0.037804 0.216359 0.537258 1.028943 1.689801 2.497501 3.518777
2025-11-09 0.014958 0.165047 0.475344 0.975661 1.666383 2.524313 3.621071
2025-11-16 0.002542 0.118772 0.411955 0.913694 1.626796 2.527534 3.691932
2025-11-23 0.000009 0.093113 0.379403 0.893409 1.640038 2.594664 3.838510
2025-11-30 NaN 0.080657 0.370010 0.907084 1.698493 2.718302 4.053736
2025-12-07 NaN 0.063063 0.347054 0.900064 1.731117 2.813255 4.239685
2025-12-14 NaN 0.044910 0.316771 0.878725 1.742767 2.881239 4.392986
2025-12-21 NaN 0.043003 0.327356 0.925285 1.850418 3.073255 4.700196
2025-12-28 NaN 0.043406 0.344354 0.982928 1.974168 3.286534 5.034343
2026-01-04 NaN 0.041122 0.352997 1.025982 2.076888 3.472404 5.334340
2026-01-11 NaN 0.043724 0.376500 1.095056 2.217381 3.707906 5.696742
2026-01-18 NaN 0.043026 0.389669 1.146047 2.331766 3.909338 6.016645
2026-01-25 NaN 0.035656 0.380151 1.156541 2.387077 4.033150 6.239161
2026-02-01 NaN 0.020260 0.334755 1.099836 2.342384 4.024115 6.293753
2026-02-08 NaN 0.008560 0.287194 1.033776 2.280646 3.990266 6.315186
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003972 0.264478 1.012122 2.283640 4.041369 6.443047